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Forecasting Financial Markets: The Truth Behind Technical Analysis, by Tony Plummer
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The second edition of this controversial book examines how technical analysis can be used to predict price trends accurately and thus ensure long-term survival for those trading in financial markets. The author also considers the emotional element which exists in investment decisions, where the behaviour of individual investors is influenced by the attitudes of other investors, resulting in something akin to a crowd mentality. By standing back from this and by trading according to certain predetermined rules and price patterns, which the author explains in detail, investors can gain a far greater insight into the behaviour of financial markets and ultimately influence their own success in those markets.
- Sales Rank: #8163718 in Books
- Brand: Brand: Kogan Page Ltd
- Published on: 1993-05-30
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Binding: Hardcover
- 272 pages
- Used Book in Good Condition
Review
""Has the best explanations of Fibonacci relationships I have read... Highly recommended."" -- Lowell Christie
About the Author
Tony Plummer is a director of Rhombus Research Ltd, and is a former director of Guinness Flight Hambro Global Fund Managers Ltd, Hambros Fund Management PLC, and Hambros Bank Ltd. He carries out independent research into the patterns and rhythms of global markets as well as giving lectures on crowd psychology and technical analysis.
Most helpful customer reviews
16 of 18 people found the following review helpful.
Nonsense
By Husam Abu-Haimed
This book is just an incoherent collection of fancy words and phrases (like crowd psychology, feedback systems, fractals, etc). The book is supposed to show the scientific basis behind technical analysis. But, the reasoning (or lack thereof) is mediocre at best. I got the feeling that the author wants the book to sound scientific without any science.
In certain cases, the book makes conclusions that are absolutely and shockingly false. For example, in page 58, the author makes a conclusion that boils down to this: as you increase the window of a moving average, there will be a very high correlation between the values of the moving average at any two times T and T-1. Hence, the author claims, this (the high correlation) shows that financial markets are predictable!!
This "reasoning" is absolutely ridiculous. Moving averages BY DEFINITION smooth out curves and hence increase correlation between time steps of the smoothed curve. In fact, if the window is large enough the value of the moving average will be approximately constant and that will imply that the correlation between T and T-1 is almost 1. This will be the case for almost ANY stationary data series. Does that make any such data series predictable?! Absolutely not!
3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
in depth understanding of financial markets
By val2monaco
This book is a masterpiece.
It explains the WHYs of financial markets. Why do greed and fear drive prices? Why is it so hard to escape them? Why does Fiboncacci retracements work? Why does history repeat itself?
If you are concerned with the HOWs, skip the book.
If you are a beginner, skip the book.
If you are ready to question your deepest understandings of human matters, how you personnally interreact with prices, then this book will become your bible.
4 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Investment and business libraries at the college level will find this a fine classroom supplement
By Midwest Book Review
Forecasting Financial Markets: The Psychology of Successful Investing offers college-level readers a fine, well-detailed introduction to investment psychology. The focus here is on how group mentality and perceptions of financial wealth have serious implications for financial market swings - and it explains why trading success depends on the ability to understand finances in logical terms, recognize emotional responses to market fluctuations, and handle clues to buying and selling trends. Investment and business libraries at the college level will find this a fine classroom supplement.
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